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The Winning LOI [Vol. 3, Issue 18, No. 45]

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Welcome to the latest issue of The Winning LOI, the Axial newsletter that anonymously reveals small business M&A valuation data and certain key deal terms associated with winning LOIs.

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In today’s issue, we break down the LOI for an HVAC business that reported a revenue range of $15M-$17M and an EBITDA range of $1M-$2M when the deal confidentially went to market via Axial. The deal was in market for 104 days before the winning LOI was executed and successfully closed 207 days later.

The EBITDA multiple for this business fell in the 2.5x-2.75x range, with the LOI structured as a combination of cash and seller financing.


EBITDA Multiples By Industry

Want more deal data? Check out The Winning LOI Hub, which features summarized data and insights from 100 LOIs.

Visit The Winning LOI Hub


See below for Winning LOI #45’s anonymized data ⬇️

The Deal
Deal TypeChange of Control
Revenue Range (TTM)$15M - $17M
EBITDA Range (TTM)$1M - $2M
EBITDA Margin Range7% - 10%
Key IndustriesIndustrials
In-Market DateQ3 2023

Axial Deal Data
Recommendations*177
Recipients*177
# of Pursuits*13
Deal Pursuit Rate*7.34%
Winning LOI Pursuit to LOI Executed104 Days
Winning LOI Executed to Deal Closed207 Days

The LOI
Total Enterprise Value (TEV) Range$3M - $4M
EBITDA Multiple Range (TTM) 2.5x - 2.75x
Exclusivity90 Days
Structure
➡️ Cash87.5% of TEV
➡️ Seller Financing12.5% of TEV
➡️ Rollover Equity
➡️ Earnout

Axial Sell-Side Member Data
Member TypeBusiness Broker
Total Deals Marketed on Axial47
Average Annual Deals Marketed6
Average Revenue of Deals$19,995,698
Average EBITDA of Deals$1,241,093

Axial Buyside Member Data
Member TypeSearch Fund
Number of Acquisitions5
Buyside Pursuit Rate*43.75%
Buyer Responsiveness Rate*100%


Definitions: 

*Recommendations: Axial sell-side members receive a matching set of buyside members for every deal they manage via Axial. A buyside recommendation refers to a specific buyside Axial member who matches a particular deal, also known as a “buyer match.”

*Recipient: A recipient is a buyside member who has been granted access by an Axial sell-side member to review a particular deal.

*Pursuit: Axial buyside members express initial interest in a deal by clicking “Pursue”, after which they can access and sign the NDA.

*Deal Pursuit Rate: The deal “Pursuit Rate” is defined as the number of times a particular deal is pursued by unique buyside members (i.e. the buyer shows explicit interest in exploring the deal) divided by the total number of buyside firms invited to evaluate the deal

*Buyside Pursuit Rate: The buyside “Pursuit Rate” is defined as the number of deals pursued by a particular buyer throughout an entire Axial membership term, divided by the total number of deals sourced during the same timeframe.

*Buyside Responsiveness Rate: The buyside “Responsiveness Rate” is defined as the rate at which a member responds to teaser shares within 5 days. The calculation initiates when a member has a minimum of 10 teasers and is calculated based on the member’s last 100 teasers received.


Disclosures: All data presented in The Winning LOI is anonymized to respect and protect the confidentiality of Axial members and their transactions. Data is provided to Axial by Axial members in accordance with the Axial Member Terms of Service. Axial has endeavored to present data accurately, but Axial does not and cannot fully verify the accuracy of the presented information. Information contained in The Winning LOI is for informational purposes only and does not represent investment advice or recommendations of any kind.

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